By Mubarak Aliyu Sabo Yaro, Girei
Most people strongly believe that President Bola Ahmad Tinubu’s government will find it difficult to win the 2027 election if things continue as they are.
The reason is that from the very beginning of this administration, on May 29, 2023, President Tinubu announced the removal of the fuel subsidy. This decision plunged Nigerians into economic hardship, leading to a rise in the cost of living. As a result, the popularity of the All Progressive Congress APC has significantly declined among the Nigerian populace.
Even before now, some had predicted that once former President Muhammadu Buhari left office, the party would lose its influence—and this prediction seems to be unfolding.
One of the biggest challenges currently facing the Tinubu administration is the growing tension between the government and some key figures who were instrumental in bringing it to power. Notable among them is Mallam Nasir El-Rufai, whom many regard as a formidable political force.
Simply put, anyone closely following the trends of Nigerian politics would agreed that the relationship between Tinubu’s government and El-Rufai has soured, paving the way for Intense presume on the government as the opposition rejoice.
Additionally, many believe that the government’s actions—such as the arrest of notable figures like Professor Yusuf Usman and the threats against Hajiya Naja’atu Mohammed—are mere attempts to suppress dissent but may not prevent an eventual political upheaval within the ruling party and perhaps lead to the downfall of this administration.
Also, beyond these internal issues, Tinubu’s government is also facing the potential threat of a coalition among major political figures, including Alhaji Atiku Abubakar, Peter Obi, Nasir El-Rufai, and Yahaya Bello, with the backing of former Nigerian leaders, all aiming to unseat Tinubu in 2027.
However, the battle is far from decided. Some analysts argue that Tinubu remains a highly skilled politician who has strategically positioned his loyalists across Nigeria, and they may go to great lengths to ensure his victory.
Furthermore, some political experts suggest that if Tinubu adopts a more inclusive and people-friendly approach—particularly towards Northern Nigeria—he might still be able to win public support and secure re-election.
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